Comnity Policy Analysis Modeling is the culmination of years of research and testing models that address economic development, land use, natural resource management, education, health care, public safety, and social amenities.
This book provides the philosophy underlying these models, detailed instructions for model construction, and also key examples of modeling applications.
Contents
Introduction to Community Policy Analysis Modeling
- A History of Community and Regional Policy
- The Challenges
- Organization of This Book
New Governance and the Changing Face of Rural America
- The Changing Economy
- Changing Demographics
- New Governance
Patterns of Local Government Activities in the United States
- State and Local Governmental Structure
- State and Local Finance: Spending and Revenue Sources
A National Infrastructure for Community Policy Analysis
- The Current Community Policy Analysis Infrastructure
- Infrastructure Characteristics
The Philosophy Underlying Community Policy Models
- The What and Why of Regional Modeling
- Art versus Science in Regional Modeling
- National and Regional Income and Product Accounts
- Three "Pure" Modeling Approaches
Modeling the Local Labor Market
- Toward a Spatial Labor Market Theory
- Estimating Spatial Labor Markets
Modeling the Public Sector
- Challenges of Modeling the Public Sector
- Tiebout's Solution
- A Stylized Model of Local Public Markets
The Show Me Community Policy Analysis Model
- The Elements of a Community Policy Analysis System
- How the Show Me Model Works
The Iowa Economic/Fiscal Impact Modeling System
- The Structure of the Model
- Issues in Constructing Community Models
The Great Basin Fiscal Impact Model
- BEA Economic Areas
- Model Development
- Expenditure and Revenue Module
SAFEISM: The Small Area Fiscal Estimation Simulator
- Model Development
- Stochastic Elements
- A Business Failure Module
- Combining Impact Uncertainties
Data Issues
- Common Data Issues
- Key Federal Data Providers
- Key State Data Providers
- Data Needed for Community Policy Analysis Modeling
Software Development and Utilization
- Choosing the Software
- Designing the Structure
Evaluating the Performance of Community Policy Models
- Stages of Model Validation
- Techniques for Evaluating Forecasts
- Validating the Missouri Show Me Model
- Empirical Evaluation of the Show Me Model Performance
Scenario Development in Community Policy Analysis Models: When Is a Cost Actually a Benefit?
- What Can COMPAS-Type Impact Analyses Do?
- Conversion of a Project into the Accounting Framework of the Model
- Scenario Example: The Impact of Alternative Economic Development and Land-Use Options
Applications of Community Policy Analysis Models: Three Case Studies
- A Framework for Using COMPAS Models in Local Education Programs
- Selected Applications
Index
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